- There ought to be a law against the misuse of anecdotal evidence.
He's taken a fact and made 3 simple slips in the telling which amplify the story and super amplify it again. The impression created is quite drastic.
'Oh my God , the climate has changed so much that Victoria will have to get 1/3 of it's water from desalination in only a few years time. ! And it will be using energy it will contribute to Climate Change.'
Will Victoria get 1/3 of it's water from desalination in a few years time ? No, of course not it's preposterous as Victoria has plenty of water.
The state premier has ordered against the advice of his own experts the building of a huge desalination plant, which will have the CAPABALITY to supply 1/3 of the CITY OF MELBOURNE'S consumption if it's SWITCHED ON. ( onstream 2011 Vic.gov.au desalination page )
Got that ? It's capability not normal production, it's not the state of Victoria it's the much smaller consumption of the City of Melbourne and it's not using much energy cos usually it switched on standby.
The idea is that in a reservoir they have to have a certain reserve level cos there's always the remote possibility it might not rain for 2 years. With this plant on standby they could let the reservoirs get lower than ever, cos they know they could crank up the plant and bingo you have a lot of water available. Odds on it would never get used, cos even after years of drought there would still be water in the reservoirs, when it started raining again.
It does provide an almost absolute guarantee that Melbourne will not run out of water. There are many cheaper alternatives : they could start recycling water, save storm water before it gets washed out to sea, cut consumption or build more reservoirs. (perhaps your mates own construction companies)
Even if they can get the machines onsite after the recent floods, even if they finish the plant, even if they have a long long drought, it will probably never supply much water.
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